📖Ray Dalio
All-Weather Strategy
Build resilient portfolios balanced across economic scenarios
Structure your portfolio to perform well across all economic environments - growth, recession, inflation, and deflation.
🏠 Everyday Analogy
📖 Core Interpretation
Balance risk across asset classes so no single economic scenario can devastate you.
💎 Key Insight：Traditional portfolios concentrated in stocks and bonds are vulnerable to specific economic environments. True diversification means balancing assets that perform well in different scenarios: growth, inflation, deflation, and stagnation. The All Weather portfolio allocates across asset classes (stocks, bonds, commodities, gold) to perform reasonably well regardless of which economic environment materializes. This reduces dependence on correct predictions and creates more stable returns over full economic cycles.
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❓ Why It Matters
The future is uncertain. Being prepared for any scenario is safer than betting on one.
🎯 How to Practice
Diversify across assets that respond differently to growth and inflation.
🎙️ Master's Voice
Diversifying well is the most important thing you need to do in order to invest well.
Dalio built the All Weather portfolio on diversification across asset classes and economic environments.
⚔️ Practical Guide
✅ Decision Checklist
- Am I truly diversified?
- Am I protected in all environments?
- Are my risks balanced?
📋 Action Steps
- Diversify across asset classes
- Prepare for all environments
- Balance risks
🚨 Warning Signs
- Concentrated risk
- Single environment exposure
- Correlated positions
⚠️ Common Pitfalls
Over-diversification reducing returns
Assuming past correlations hold
📚 Case Studies
1
Global Financial Crisis (2008)
All-Weather, with balanced risk across asset classes, declined far less than equity-heavy portfolios and avoided forced selling during the crash.
✨ Outcome：Preserved capital relative to stocks and participated in the subsequent recovery, illustrating crisis resilience.
2
COVID-19 Market Shock (2020)
During the rapid pandemic selloff, diversified risk exposures helped cushion losses versus concentrated equity portfolios, while bonds and some commodities offset part of the drawdown.
✨ Outcome：Smaller drawdown and quicker recovery reinforced the strategy’s goal of stability across economic environments.
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