📖Carl Icahn

Focus on Intrinsic Value

🌿 Intermediate★★★★★

Compare price to intrinsic value, not to past prices.

💬

Always estimate the intrinsic value of a business before investing. Compare price to value, not price to past price. The gap between price and value is where profits are made.

— Icahn Documentary,2022

🏠 Everyday Analogy

Valuation is like buying a house: the asking price reflects mood, but true value comes from structure, location, and long-term utility. Good assets still need sensible prices.

📖 Core Interpretation

In Focus on Intrinsic Value, Carl Icahn focuses on the gap between price and value. Returns come from paying less than what a business is worth, not from guessing short-term market moves.
💎 Key Insight:The price-value gap is the source of returns.

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❓ Why It Matters

Ignoring valuation turns even good companies into poor investments. Overpaying compresses future returns and leaves little margin when assumptions are wrong.

🎯 How to Practice

Estimate intrinsic value with conservative assumptions, set clear buy ranges, and act only when price offers a meaningful discount with acceptable downside.

⚠️ Common Pitfalls

Confusing a low price with true cheapness
Using one metric without business context
Overly optimistic assumptions that erase margin of safety

📚 Case Studies

1
Texaco Bankruptcy Play (1986)
Icahn accumulated a large Texaco stake during its bankruptcy after the Pennzoil judgment, pushing for asset sales or a takeover to unlock value.
✨ Outcome:Exited with profit as Texaco settled litigation and restructured, though he did not gain full control.
2
Netflix Stake Amid Doubts (2012)
Icahn disclosed roughly 10% stake in Netflix when Wall Street feared rising content costs and competition from Amazon and HBO.
✨ Outcome:Management later adopted a poison pill; Icahn exited much of the position with large profits as the stock multiplied over the next few years.

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