📖George Soros

Independent Investment Philosophy

🌿 Intermediate★★★★☆

Develop your own philosophy through study and experience.

💬

Develop your own investment philosophy through study and experience. Copying others without understanding why leads to confusion when strategies are tested.

— Soros on Soros,1995

🏠 Everyday Analogy

A process is like a pilot checklist: discipline prevents simple mistakes when pressure rises and keeps outcomes more repeatable.

📖 Core Interpretation

George Soros advocates a repeatable process: define criteria, execute consistently, and review decisions against evidence. Process quality drives outcome consistency.
💎 Key Insight:Personal conviction withstands adversity better than borrowed ideas.

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❓ Why It Matters

Without process, there is no reliable feedback loop. Structured execution and review improve decision quality over time.

🎯 How to Practice

Run a decision loop of research, thesis, execution, and post-mortem; document assumptions and update playbooks with evidence, not hindsight bias.

⚠️ Common Pitfalls

Having opinions without execution criteria
Reviewing outcomes but not decisions
Abandoning rules during volatility spikes

📚 Case Studies

1
Asian Financial Crisis and Thai Baht (1997)
Soros’s fund shorted currencies like the Thai baht as credit booms, dollar debts, and fixed exchange rates became unsustainable, triggering self-reinforcing capital flight and devaluations.
✨ Outcome:Profits from short positions, though Soros was criticized; the crisis exemplified reflexive boom-bust dynamics in emerging markets.
2
Breaking the Bank of England (1992)
Soros shorted the British pound, betting the ERM peg was unsustainable as negative sentiment and weak fundamentals reinforced each other.
✨ Outcome:The pound was forced out of the ERM, it devalued sharply, and Soros reportedly profited over $1 billion.

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