📖George Soros

Focus on Intrinsic Value

🌿 Intermediate★★★★★

Compare price to intrinsic value, not to past prices.

💬

Always estimate the intrinsic value of a business before investing. Compare price to value, not price to past price. The gap between price and value is where profits are made.

— Soros on Soros,1995

🏠 Everyday Analogy

Valuation is like buying a house: the asking price reflects mood, but true value comes from structure, location, and long-term utility. Good assets still need sensible prices.

📖 Core Interpretation

In Focus on Intrinsic Value, George Soros focuses on the gap between price and value. Returns come from paying less than what a business is worth, not from guessing short-term market moves.
💎 Key Insight:The price-value gap is the source of returns.

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❓ Why It Matters

Ignoring valuation turns even good companies into poor investments. Overpaying compresses future returns and leaves little margin when assumptions are wrong.

🎯 How to Practice

Estimate intrinsic value with conservative assumptions, set clear buy ranges, and act only when price offers a meaningful discount with acceptable downside.

⚠️ Common Pitfalls

Confusing a low price with true cheapness
Using one metric without business context
Overly optimistic assumptions that erase margin of safety

📚 Case Studies

1
Asian Financial Crisis Thailand Short (1997)
Soros’s fund took positions against overvalued Southeast Asian currencies, including the Thai baht, amid unsustainable pegs, rising external debt, and deteriorating current accounts.
✨ Outcome:After Thailand abandoned its peg in July 1997, regional currencies fell sharply; Quantum generated significant gains but drew political criticism in affected countries.
2
Asian Financial Crisis Speculation (1997)
Soros’ funds traded regional currencies and assets as Thailand’s baht came under pressure, exposing fragile pegs, high leverage, and herd behavior across Asian markets.
✨ Outcome:Several Asian currencies collapsed; Soros was blamed by some officials, but he argued structural weaknesses and policy errors drove the crisis, highlighting systemic uncertainty.

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