📖George Soros

Long-Term Perspective

🌱 Beginner★★★★★

Think in decades, not days.

💬

Think in decades, not days. The market rewards patient capital and punishes impatience. Most of the gains in investing come from sitting and waiting.

— Soros on Soros,1995

🏠 Everyday Analogy

Long-term investing is like planting trees. Early progress looks slow, but compounding happens underground before it becomes visible.

📖 Core Interpretation

George Soros frames investing as a compounding game. Time amplifies quality and discipline, while unnecessary activity often destroys long-horizon returns.
💎 Key Insight:Patient capital earns the highest returns.

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❓ Why It Matters

Short-term noise often forces investors out before value is realized. Long-term discipline increases the odds that fundamentals, not emotions, drive outcomes.

🎯 How to Practice

Extend research and review horizon, reduce unnecessary turnover, and adjust only when intrinsic value, risk, or opportunity cost materially changes.

⚠️ Common Pitfalls

Calling it long term while never reviewing thesis
Overtrading and damaging compounding
Ignoring opportunity cost and alternatives

📚 Case Studies

1
Asian Financial Crisis and Thai Baht (1997)
Soros’s fund shorted currencies like the Thai baht as credit booms, dollar debts, and fixed exchange rates became unsustainable, triggering self-reinforcing capital flight and devaluations.
✨ Outcome:Profits from short positions, though Soros was criticized; the crisis exemplified reflexive boom-bust dynamics in emerging markets.
2
Breaking the Bank of England (1992)
Soros shorted the British pound, betting the ERM peg was unsustainable as negative sentiment and weak fundamentals reinforced each other.
✨ Outcome:The pound was forced out of the ERM, it devalued sharply, and Soros reportedly profited over $1 billion.

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