📖George Soros

Position Sizing Discipline

🌿 Intermediate★★★★★

Size positions based on conviction and risk.

💬

The size of your position should reflect your conviction and the risk involved. Never bet so large that a single mistake can wipe out your portfolio.

— Soros on Soros,1995

🏠 Everyday Analogy

Portfolio construction is like building a team. You need complementary roles, not eleven strikers chasing the same ball.

📖 Core Interpretation

George Soros views portfolio construction as risk architecture. Allocation, position sizing, and rebalancing rules determine whether you can stay disciplined across market regimes.
💎 Key Insight:Proper position sizing prevents catastrophic losses.

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❓ Why It Matters

Without portfolio rules, decisions become reactive and concentrated. Sustainable returns come from controllable risk exposure, not one-off bets.

🎯 How to Practice

Set target allocation by risk tolerance, rebalance by rules rather than headlines, and prevent hidden concentration from dominating portfolio behavior.

⚠️ Common Pitfalls

Diversifying superficially without true risk balance
Skipping rebalancing rules and drifting style
Judging portfolio health by short-term returns only

📚 Case Studies

1
Asian Financial Crisis in Thailand (1997)
Spotted flaw in Thailand’s fixed exchange rate with large short-term foreign debt and weakening competitiveness.
✨ Outcome:Shorted Thai baht and related assets; peg collapsed in July 1997, leading to sharp devaluation and profits for Soros’s fund.
2
Asian Financial Crisis Thai Baht Short (1997)
Anticipating Thailand’s unsustainable peg and mounting foreign-debt vulnerabilities, Soros’s fund took large speculative short positions in the Thai baht and related assets.
✨ Outcome:The baht devalued sharply in 1997; Quantum Fund earned substantial profits, illustrating his readiness to commit large capital when macro imbalances seem inevitable.

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