📖Jeremy Grantham

Behavioral Bias Awareness

🌿 Intermediate★★★★☆

Know your behavioral biases to avoid them.

💬

Know the common behavioral biases that trap investors: anchoring, confirmation bias, loss aversion, and herding. Awareness is the first step to prevention.

— GMO Quarterly Letters,2017

🏠 Everyday Analogy

Risk control is like a seatbelt. It does not make the ride faster, but it keeps you alive when conditions suddenly turn against you.

📖 Core Interpretation

Jeremy Grantham treats survival as the first objective. Limiting permanent capital loss, controlling leverage, and avoiding single-point failure are prerequisites for long-term compounding.
💎 Key Insight:Awareness of biases is the first defense against them.

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❓ Why It Matters

A single large drawdown can erase years of progress. Risk control is not timidity; it is the operating system that keeps compounding alive.

🎯 How to Practice

Define downside scenarios before entry, cap position size, avoid fragile leverage, and maintain liquidity so mistakes remain survivable.

⚠️ Common Pitfalls

Equating volatility with all forms of risk
Oversized positions without an exit plan
Using leverage to compensate for uncertainty

📚 Case Studies

1
Avoiding the Dot-Com Bubble (1999)
Grantham refused to chase tech and internet stocks despite underperforming peers during the late-1990s mania.
✨ Outcome:Clients owning quality, reasonably valued stocks avoided catastrophic losses when the bubble burst in 2000–2002.
2
High-Quality Stocks in the GFC (2008)
During the Global Financial Crisis, Grantham emphasized financially strong, high-quality companies over leveraged or speculative names.
✨ Outcome:Quality stocks fell less than the market and rebounded faster, preserving capital and compounding strongly in the recovery.

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