📖Jeremy Grantham

Master Your Emotions

🌿 Intermediate★★★★★

Master your emotions to master the market.

💬

The greatest enemy of the investor is himself. Fear, greed, regret, and pride cause more losses than any economic event. Master your emotions to master the market.

— GMO Quarterly Letters,2017

🏠 Everyday Analogy

Emotions in markets are like steering on a wet road: the harder you jerk the wheel, the more likely you lose control. Rules keep decisions stable.

📖 Core Interpretation

Jeremy Grantham highlights that many investment mistakes are psychological, not analytical. Managing behavior under stress is as important as finding ideas.
💎 Key Insight:Emotional control is the foundation of investment success.

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❓ Why It Matters

In volatile markets, fear and greed push investors to buy high and sell low. A behavioral framework reduces avoidable, self-inflicted errors.

🎯 How to Practice

Pre-write decision rules, slow down trades during stress, and separate market emotion from business facts before adjusting positions.

⚠️ Common Pitfalls

Following crowd emotion at extremes
Mistaking confidence for certainty
Forcing trades to quickly recover losses

📚 Case Studies

1
Avoiding the Tech Bubble (1999)
Grantham underweighted expensive tech stocks despite client pressure as valuations broke from historical norms.
✨ Outcome:Clients lagged during the final bubble phase but were largely spared the 2000–2002 crash, preserving capital and careers for patient managers.
2
Early Exit Before Global Financial Crisis (2007)
GMO reduced risk in equities and housing-related assets as Grantham warned of a major credit and housing bubble.
✨ Outcome:Some clients left due to short-term underperformance, but remaining investors suffered far smaller losses in 2008–2009, validating a risk-first approach.

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