📖Jeremy Grantham

Wisdom for Investing and Life

🌱 Beginner★★★★☆

Investment principles apply to life too.

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The principles that make you a great investor — patience, discipline, humility, and continuous learning — are the same principles that lead to a great life.

— GMO Quarterly Letters,2017

🏠 Everyday Analogy

A process is like a pilot checklist: discipline prevents simple mistakes when pressure rises and keeps outcomes more repeatable.

📖 Core Interpretation

Jeremy Grantham advocates a repeatable process: define criteria, execute consistently, and review decisions against evidence. Process quality drives outcome consistency.
💎 Key Insight:Character virtues drive success in investing and life.

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❓ Why It Matters

Without process, there is no reliable feedback loop. Structured execution and review improve decision quality over time.

🎯 How to Practice

Run a decision loop of research, thesis, execution, and post-mortem; document assumptions and update playbooks with evidence, not hindsight bias.

⚠️ Common Pitfalls

Having opinions without execution criteria
Reviewing outcomes but not decisions
Abandoning rules during volatility spikes

📚 Case Studies

1
Dot-Com Bubble Warning (2000)
Grantham publicly warned in 1998–2000 that tech stocks were in a massive bubble, reducing GMO client exposure to overvalued growth and internet shares.
✨ Outcome:Clients underperformed during the final surge, but avoided most of the 2000–2002 crash and preserved substantial capital.
2
Housing and Credit Bubble Call (2007)
Grantham labeled 2005–2007 a global housing and credit bubble, slashing exposure to risky mortgage-linked and leveraged financial assets before the crisis hit.
✨ Outcome:Underperformance before mid-2007, then strong relative results during the 2008 crash as portfolios were less exposed to collapsing financials.

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