📖Jesse Livermore
Market Cycles Awareness
Understand where you are in the market cycle.
Markets move in cycles driven by human emotion. Understanding where you are in the cycle helps you prepare for what comes next and position accordingly.
🏠 Everyday Analogy
📖 Core Interpretation
Jesse Livermore highlights that many investment mistakes are psychological, not analytical. Managing behavior under stress is as important as finding ideas.
💎 Key Insight：Cycle awareness improves investment timing.
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❓ Why It Matters
In volatile markets, fear and greed push investors to buy high and sell low. A behavioral framework reduces avoidable, self-inflicted errors.
🎯 How to Practice
Pre-write decision rules, slow down trades during stress, and separate market emotion from business facts before adjusting positions.
⚠️ Common Pitfalls
Following crowd emotion at extremes
Mistaking confidence for certainty
Forcing trades to quickly recover losses
📚 Case Studies
1
1929 Crash and Aftermath (1929)
He correctly anticipated the 1929 crash, shorted the market, then later violated his own rules by overtrading and ignoring emotional strain.
✨ Outcome：Initially made a vast fortune, but subsequent losses and psychological pressure eroded capital, illustrating the danger of not respecting one’s own limits.
2
Panic of 1907 Short Trade (1907)
Livermore read the tape and saw relentless selling pressure in leading stocks, confirming a major liquidation wave despite optimistic headlines.
✨ Outcome：Built large short positions, profited massively as the market collapsed, then covered near the lows to lock in gains.
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