📖Julian Robertson
Checklist Discipline
Use checklists to prevent investment oversights.
Use an investment checklist to ensure you don't skip critical steps. Aviation-style checklists prevent costly oversights in investment analysis.
🏠 Everyday Analogy
📖 Core Interpretation
Julian Robertson advocates a repeatable process: define criteria, execute consistently, and review decisions against evidence. Process quality drives outcome consistency.
💎 Key Insight：Checklists enforce discipline and prevent errors.
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❓ Why It Matters
Without process, there is no reliable feedback loop. Structured execution and review improve decision quality over time.
🎯 How to Practice
Run a decision loop of research, thesis, execution, and post-mortem; document assumptions and update playbooks with evidence, not hindsight bias.
⚠️ Common Pitfalls
Having opinions without execution criteria
Reviewing outcomes but not decisions
Abandoning rules during volatility spikes
📚 Case Studies
1
Shorting Tech Bubble High-Fliers (1999)
Robertson’s Tiger Management shorted overvalued, zero-earnings dot-com and telecom stocks at the peak of the late-1990s tech bubble.
✨ Outcome：Sustained heavy losses in 1999 as bubble extended, but positions were ultimately vindicated when the NASDAQ collapsed in 2000.
2
Refusing to Chase Momentum (2000)
Tiger stayed short expensive tech while refusing to buy soaring momentum names, maintaining valuation discipline despite client pressure.
✨ Outcome：Fund suffered redemptions and closed in 2000, yet the subsequent tech crash validated his short thesis and risk framework.
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