📖Seth Klarman

Require Catalysts

🌳 Advanced★★★★★

Identify catalysts that will unlock value.

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Don't just buy cheap stocks; identify catalysts that will realize the value. Without a catalyst, cheap can stay cheap forever.

— Margin of Safety,1991

🏠 Everyday Analogy

Valuation is like buying a house: the asking price reflects mood, but true value comes from structure, location, and long-term utility. Good assets still need sensible prices.

📖 Core Interpretation

In Require Catalysts, Seth Klarman focuses on the gap between price and value. Returns come from paying less than what a business is worth, not from guessing short-term market moves.
💎 Key Insight:Catalysts transform cheap stocks into profitable investments.

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❓ Why It Matters

Ignoring valuation turns even good companies into poor investments. Overpaying compresses future returns and leaves little margin when assumptions are wrong.

🎯 How to Practice

Estimate intrinsic value with conservative assumptions, set clear buy ranges, and act only when price offers a meaningful discount with acceptable downside.

⚠️ Common Pitfalls

Confusing a low price with true cheapness
Using one metric without business context
Overly optimistic assumptions that erase margin of safety

📚 Case Studies

1
Vivendi Asset Sales (2012)
Klarman’s Baupost took a position in Vivendi as it pursued asset divestitures, including Activision Blizzard and Maroc Telecom, to unlock conglomerate discount.
✨ Outcome:Catalysts realized through sales and restructuring narrowed the discount; Baupost exited with a substantial gain over several years.
2
KPN and América Móvil Bid (2013)
Baupost invested in Dutch telecom KPN amid a takeover attempt by América Móvil, expecting bids, asset sales, and regulatory decisions to unlock value.
✨ Outcome:The partial bid and corporate actions highlighted underlying value; position was reportedly profitable as spreads narrowed and risk reduced.

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