📖Duan Yongping
Catalyst-Aware Stock Picking
Identify specific catalysts that will unlock value.
Look for investments where a specific catalyst will unlock value. Without a catalyst, even cheap stocks can remain undervalued indefinitely.
🏠 Everyday Analogy
📖 Core Interpretation
In Catalyst-Aware Stock Picking, Duan Yongping focuses on the gap between price and value. Returns come from paying less than what a business is worth, not from guessing short-term market moves.
💎 Key Insight：Catalysts transform undervaluation into realized gains.
AI Deep Analysis
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❓ Why It Matters
Ignoring valuation turns even good companies into poor investments. Overpaying compresses future returns and leaves little margin when assumptions are wrong.
🎯 How to Practice
Estimate intrinsic value with conservative assumptions, set clear buy ranges, and act only when price offers a meaningful discount with acceptable downside.
⚠️ Common Pitfalls
Confusing a low price with true cheapness
Using one metric without business context
Overly optimistic assumptions that erase margin of safety
📚 Case Studies
1
Apple Charity Lunch & Investment (2006)
Duan paid over $600,000 for a charity lunch with Warren Buffett, deepening conviction in concentrated, long‑term investing and later building a focused Apple position.
✨ Outcome：Apple became a highly successful long‑term investment, illustrating the power of concentration in a few great companies.
2
Apple during Global Financial Crisis (2008)
Amid the 2008 crisis, Apple’s share price fell sharply despite strong product momentum with iPhone and Mac sales.
✨ Outcome：Duan Yongping held and added, focusing on long‑term competitive advantage; Apple later compounded massively as the smartphone era took off.
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