📖Duan Yongping
Crowd Behavior Awareness
Act when the crowd is at emotional extremes.
Understanding crowd psychology is essential. When everyone agrees, the opportunity has usually passed. The best time to act is when the crowd is most fearful or most confident.
🏠 Everyday Analogy
📖 Core Interpretation
Duan Yongping highlights that many investment mistakes are psychological, not analytical. Managing behavior under stress is as important as finding ideas.
💎 Key Insight：Crowd consensus signals exhausted opportunities.
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❓ Why It Matters
In volatile markets, fear and greed push investors to buy high and sell low. A behavioral framework reduces avoidable, self-inflicted errors.
🎯 How to Practice
Pre-write decision rules, slow down trades during stress, and separate market emotion from business facts before adjusting positions.
⚠️ Common Pitfalls
Following crowd emotion at extremes
Mistaking confidence for certainty
Forcing trades to quickly recover losses
📚 Case Studies
1
China Slowdown Fears vs. Tencent/NetEase (2015)
Widespread concerns about China’s GDP slowdown and stock market volatility led many to predict long-term stagnation in Chinese internet companies.
✨ Outcome：Ignoring macro guesses, Duan emphasized durable competitive advantages and user growth, kept investing, and holdings appreciated strongly over subsequent years.
2
Asian Financial Crisis Margin Calls (1997)
Highly leveraged investors in Asian equities faced margin calls as currencies and markets collapsed, forcing them to liquidate at lows.
✨ Outcome：Duan Yongping highlighted the episode as a warning that leverage can turn temporary volatility into permanent capital loss.
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