📖Duan Yongping
Inversion Thinking
Invert problems to find insights forward thinking misses.
Instead of asking how to succeed, ask how to avoid failure. Inverting problems often reveals insights that forward thinking misses.
🏠 Everyday Analogy
📖 Core Interpretation
Duan Yongping advocates a repeatable process: define criteria, execute consistently, and review decisions against evidence. Process quality drives outcome consistency.
💎 Key Insight：Avoiding failure is often more productive than pursuing success.
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❓ Why It Matters
Without process, there is no reliable feedback loop. Structured execution and review improve decision quality over time.
🎯 How to Practice
Run a decision loop of research, thesis, execution, and post-mortem; document assumptions and update playbooks with evidence, not hindsight bias.
⚠️ Common Pitfalls
Having opinions without execution criteria
Reviewing outcomes but not decisions
Abandoning rules during volatility spikes
📚 Case Studies
1
NetEase Dot-Com Crash (2000)
NetEase plummeted over 90% during the dot-com bust amid fears Chinese internet firms would fail.
✨ Outcome：Duan ignored market panic, focused on fundamentals, increased his stake, and the investment later became a multi-bagger.
2
Apple iPhone Doubts (2008)
Global crisis and skepticism about iPhone margins led to sharp volatility and frequent negative headlines on Apple.
✨ Outcome：He ignored short-term noise, held his position, and Apple’s earnings and stock price compounded substantially over the following decade.
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