📖Duan Yongping
Management Evaluation
Judge management by actions, not words.
Evaluate management by their actions, not their words. Look for a track record of capital allocation, shareholder communication, and aligned incentives.
🏠 Everyday Analogy
📖 Core Interpretation
In Management Evaluation, Duan Yongping focuses on the gap between price and value. Returns come from paying less than what a business is worth, not from guessing short-term market moves.
💎 Key Insight：Track record reveals true management quality.
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❓ Why It Matters
Ignoring valuation turns even good companies into poor investments. Overpaying compresses future returns and leaves little margin when assumptions are wrong.
🎯 How to Practice
Estimate intrinsic value with conservative assumptions, set clear buy ranges, and act only when price offers a meaningful discount with acceptable downside.
⚠️ Common Pitfalls
Confusing a low price with true cheapness
Using one metric without business context
Overly optimistic assumptions that erase margin of safety
📚 Case Studies
1
Apple during Global Financial Crisis (2008)
Amid the 2008 crisis, Apple’s share price fell sharply despite strong product momentum with iPhone and Mac sales.
✨ Outcome：Duan Yongping held and added, focusing on long‑term competitive advantage; Apple later compounded massively as the smartphone era took off.
2
Tencent Regulation and Gaming Freeze (2018)
China froze new game approvals, hitting Tencent’s core business and causing a steep share price decline and broad pessimism.
✨ Outcome：Duan maintained a long‑term view on Tencent’s ecosystem and network effects; the stock recovered as approvals resumed and business normalized.
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