📖Duan Yongping
Market Cycles Awareness
Understand where you are in the market cycle.
Markets move in cycles driven by human emotion. Understanding where you are in the cycle helps you prepare for what comes next and position accordingly.
🏠 Everyday Analogy
📖 Core Interpretation
Duan Yongping highlights that many investment mistakes are psychological, not analytical. Managing behavior under stress is as important as finding ideas.
💎 Key Insight：Cycle awareness improves investment timing.
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❓ Why It Matters
In volatile markets, fear and greed push investors to buy high and sell low. A behavioral framework reduces avoidable, self-inflicted errors.
🎯 How to Practice
Pre-write decision rules, slow down trades during stress, and separate market emotion from business facts before adjusting positions.
⚠️ Common Pitfalls
Following crowd emotion at extremes
Mistaking confidence for certainty
Forcing trades to quickly recover losses
📚 Case Studies
1
Global Financial Crisis and No-Leverage Stance (2008)
During the 2008 crisis, leveraged funds and investors were forced sellers when credit markets froze and collateral values plunged.
✨ Outcome：Duan’s insistence on avoiding leverage allowed him and followers to hold quality assets calmly and benefit from the eventual recovery.
2
NetEase Dot-Com Crash (2000)
NetEase plummeted over 90% during the dot-com bust amid fears Chinese internet firms would fail.
✨ Outcome：Duan ignored market panic, focused on fundamentals, increased his stake, and the investment later became a multi-bagger.
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