📖Duan Yongping

Risk-First Approach

🌿 Intermediate★★★★★

Consider the downside before the upside.

💬

Before considering how much you can make, consider how much you can lose. Risk management is not about avoiding risk entirely, but about understanding and controlling it.

— Duan Yongping Interview,2021

🏠 Everyday Analogy

Risk control is like a seatbelt. It does not make the ride faster, but it keeps you alive when conditions suddenly turn against you.

📖 Core Interpretation

Duan Yongping treats survival as the first objective. Limiting permanent capital loss, controlling leverage, and avoiding single-point failure are prerequisites for long-term compounding.
💎 Key Insight:Risk management is about understanding, not avoidance.

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❓ Why It Matters

A single large drawdown can erase years of progress. Risk control is not timidity; it is the operating system that keeps compounding alive.

🎯 How to Practice

Define downside scenarios before entry, cap position size, avoid fragile leverage, and maintain liquidity so mistakes remain survivable.

⚠️ Common Pitfalls

Equating volatility with all forms of risk
Oversized positions without an exit plan
Using leverage to compensate for uncertainty

📚 Case Studies

1
Global Financial Crisis and No-Leverage Stance (2008)
During the 2008 crisis, leveraged funds and investors were forced sellers when credit markets froze and collateral values plunged.
✨ Outcome:Duan’s insistence on avoiding leverage allowed him and followers to hold quality assets calmly and benefit from the eventual recovery.
2
NetEase Dot-Com Crash (2000)
NetEase plummeted over 90% during the dot-com bust amid fears Chinese internet firms would fail.
✨ Outcome:Duan ignored market panic, focused on fundamentals, increased his stake, and the investment later became a multi-bagger.

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