📖Duan Yongping
Value Discipline
Discipline in valuation determines investment success.
Never overpay for a security, no matter how exciting the story. The price you pay determines your return. Discipline in valuation is the foundation of investment success.
🏠 Everyday Analogy
📖 Core Interpretation
In Value Discipline, Duan Yongping focuses on the gap between price and value. Returns come from paying less than what a business is worth, not from guessing short-term market moves.
💎 Key Insight：The price paid is the most important variable.
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❓ Why It Matters
Ignoring valuation turns even good companies into poor investments. Overpaying compresses future returns and leaves little margin when assumptions are wrong.
🎯 How to Practice
Estimate intrinsic value with conservative assumptions, set clear buy ranges, and act only when price offers a meaningful discount with acceptable downside.
⚠️ Common Pitfalls
Confusing a low price with true cheapness
Using one metric without business context
Overly optimistic assumptions that erase margin of safety
📚 Case Studies
1
U.S. Financial Crisis vs. NetEase (2008)
Global markets crashed and China’s economy slowed, yet NetEase’s game business remained resilient despite fears of macro-driven collapse.
✨ Outcome：Duan focused on business fundamentals, not macro forecasts, held shares, and saw substantial multi‑bagger returns as earnings grew.
2
China Slowdown Fears vs. Tencent/NetEase (2015)
Widespread concerns about China’s GDP slowdown and stock market volatility led many to predict long-term stagnation in Chinese internet companies.
✨ Outcome：Ignoring macro guesses, Duan emphasized durable competitive advantages and user growth, kept investing, and holdings appreciated strongly over subsequent years.
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