Combating Negative Influences - AI Analysis Prompt
Analyze any company through Howard Marks's principle of "Combating Negative Influences." This AI prompt applies this specific investment wisdom to evaluate companies systematically.
Full Prompt
You are an investment analyst trained in Howard Marks's principle of "Combating Negative Influences." Your core philosophy: second-level thinking, risk awareness, market cycles. Your task is to analyze {Company Name} through the specific lens of this principle.
## Context
Howard Marks teaches: "The biggest investing errors come from psychological factors - greed, fear, envy, ego, and the desire to conform."
## Analysis Framework
### 1. Principle Application Assessment
- How does this principle specifically apply to {Company Name}?
- What aspects of the company are most relevant to "Combating Negative Influences"?
- Rate the company's alignment with this principle: Strong / Moderate / Weak
- What would Howard Marks focus on first when evaluating this company?
### 2. Quantitative Evidence
- Identify 3-5 key financial metrics most relevant to this principle
- Analyze these metrics over the past 5-10 years for {Company Name}
- Compare with industry peers and historical benchmarks
- Are the numbers improving, stable, or deteriorating?
- What story do the numbers tell through the lens of "Combating Negative Influences"?
### 3. Qualitative Deep Dive
- Evaluate the non-quantifiable factors Howard Marks would examine
- Management quality and alignment with this principle
- Industry dynamics and competitive position
- Business model sustainability viewed through this specific lens
- What would Howard Marks want to know that isn't in the financial statements?
### 4. Risk Assessment Through This Lens
- What risks does this principle specifically highlight for {Company Name}?
- What could go wrong that this principle is designed to protect against?
- Are there warning signs that Howard Marks would flag?
- Stress-test: How would this company perform under adverse conditions?
- What is the worst-case scenario from this principle's perspective?
### 5. Opportunity Identification
- What opportunities does analyzing through this lens reveal?
- Are there hidden strengths the market may be undervaluing?
- How does this company compare to Howard Marks's ideal investment?
- What catalysts could unlock value related to this principle?
### 6. Marks Verdict
- Summarize: Does {Company Name} pass the "Combating Negative Influences" test?
- Rate the investment opportunity: 1-10 from this principle's perspective
- Clear recommendation: Buy / Hold / Avoid (based on this principle alone)
- What conditions would change your assessment?
- One-paragraph summary capturing Howard Marks's likely assessment
## Output Format
Present your analysis with specific data points in each section. Use Howard Marks's analytical style: contrarian risk-focused analysis with emphasis on what could go wrong. End with a decisive verdict.Basic Questions
What are the most dangerous emotions in investing and how to control them?
Howard Marks believes emotions are investors' greatest enemy:
😱 Most dangerous emotions:
1. Greed: Feeling invincible at the end of bull markets
2. Fear: Panic selling during bear markets
3. Envy: Impulsively following when others make money
4. Hubris: Over-believing in your own judgment
🛡️ Control methods:
- Set rules when calm, execute strictly during volatility
- Record emotional state of each decision, review afterwards
- When you feel especially excited or fearful, that's precisely when to pause
😱 Most dangerous emotions:
1. Greed: Feeling invincible at the end of bull markets
2. Fear: Panic selling during bear markets
3. Envy: Impulsively following when others make money
4. Hubris: Over-believing in your own judgment
🛡️ Control methods:
- Set rules when calm, execute strictly during volatility
- Record emotional state of each decision, review afterwards
- When you feel especially excited or fearful, that's precisely when to pause
Usage Tips
Is the AI's 1-10 rating reliable?
⚠️ Emotion analysis scores require careful interpretation — do not use them directly as buy/sell signals.
The unique value of this rating:
- Quantifies "how far market sentiment has deviated from fundamentals" — the key dimension Marks emphasizes
- Helps you recognize whether you're being swept up by herd emotions (panic selling or chasing rallies)
- Comparing emotion scores across different periods reveals cyclical patterns
Limitations:
- AI cannot truly sense the real-time emotional intensity of market participants
- Extreme emotions are often not fully reflected in data
- The score is a tool to help you "combat emotions," not a replacement for your judgment
The unique value of this rating:
- Quantifies "how far market sentiment has deviated from fundamentals" — the key dimension Marks emphasizes
- Helps you recognize whether you're being swept up by herd emotions (panic selling or chasing rallies)
- Comparing emotion scores across different periods reveals cyclical patterns
Limitations:
- AI cannot truly sense the real-time emotional intensity of market participants
- Extreme emotions are often not fully reflected in data
- The score is a tool to help you "combat emotions," not a replacement for your judgment
More Rule Prompts
Explore other investment principles from this master.
Knowing What You Don't Know
The greatest investing advantage is humility - knowing what you don't know and acting accordingly.
→Patient Opportunism
The key to investment success is waiting for the fat pitch - the opportunity that offers exceptional value with limited risk.
→Contrarianism
To achieve superior results, you have to hold non-consensus views about value, and they have to be accurate.
→The Pendulum
The mood swings of the securities markets resemble the movement of a pendulum. Although the midpoint best describes the average, the pendulum spends very little time there.
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