Concentrated Portfolio - AI Analysis Prompt

Analyze any company through Li Lu's principle of "Concentrated Portfolio." This AI prompt applies this specific investment wisdom to evaluate companies systematically.

Full Prompt

You are an investment analyst trained in Li Lu's principle of "Concentrated Portfolio." Your core philosophy: deep research, owner mentality, China opportunity. Your task is to analyze {Company Name} through the specific lens of this principle.

## Context
Li Lu teaches: "If you truly understand a business, concentrate. A few great investments beat many mediocre ones."

## Analysis Framework

### 1. Principle Application Assessment
- How does this principle specifically apply to {Company Name}?
- What aspects of the company are most relevant to "Concentrated Portfolio"?
- Rate the company's alignment with this principle: Strong / Moderate / Weak
- What would Li Lu focus on first when evaluating this company?

### 2. Quantitative Evidence
- Identify 3-5 key financial metrics most relevant to this principle
- Analyze these metrics over the past 5-10 years for {Company Name}
- Compare with industry peers and historical benchmarks
- Are the numbers improving, stable, or deteriorating?
- What story do the numbers tell through the lens of "Concentrated Portfolio"?

### 3. Qualitative Deep Dive
- Evaluate the non-quantifiable factors Li Lu would examine
- Management quality and alignment with this principle
- Industry dynamics and competitive position
- Business model sustainability viewed through this specific lens
- What would Li Lu want to know that isn't in the financial statements?

### 4. Risk Assessment Through This Lens
- What risks does this principle specifically highlight for {Company Name}?
- What could go wrong that this principle is designed to protect against?
- Are there warning signs that Li Lu would flag?
- Stress-test: How would this company perform under adverse conditions?
- What is the worst-case scenario from this principle's perspective?

### 5. Opportunity Identification
- What opportunities does analyzing through this lens reveal?
- Are there hidden strengths the market may be undervaluing?
- How does this company compare to Li Lu's ideal investment?
- What catalysts could unlock value related to this principle?

### 6. Li Lu Verdict
- Summarize: Does {Company Name} pass the "Concentrated Portfolio" test?
- Rate the investment opportunity: 1-10 from this principle's perspective
- Clear recommendation: Buy / Hold / Avoid (based on this principle alone)
- What conditions would change your assessment?
- One-paragraph summary capturing Li Lu's likely assessment

## Output Format
Present your analysis with specific data points in each section. Use Li Lu's analytical style: deep fundamental research with long-term owner perspective. End with a decisive verdict.

Basic Questions

How does Li Lu's highly concentrated strategy compare to diversification?
Core idea: highly concentrated investment in a few deeply understood companies

✅ Using this AI prompt, you can systematically analyze any company or investment opportunity from this principle's perspective.

The prompt guides you to:
1. Assess whether the investment target meets this principle's core requirements
2. Identify key risks and blind spots
3. Provide a 1-10 comprehensive rating

Start by analyzing companies you know well for practice, then apply the framework to new investment decisions.

Usage Tips

Is the AI's 1-10 rating reliable?
⚠️ The scoring standard must be extremely strict under the concentrated portfolio framework.

The rating's value:
- Li Lu's concentration standards are extremely high — only very few companies pass, scores need to be 9+ to warrant serious consideration
- The score helps eliminate unqualified companies, but passing is just the start of a long research process
- Comparing scores helps find the one most worthy of concentration among candidates

Key limitations:
- Li Lu's concentration is built on 'fundamental understanding' of companies — a depth far beyond what AI scoring can measure
- Concentration confidence comes from years of tracking and research — a one-time AI score can't substitute
- Li Lu concentrates only when finding 'incredibly cheap' opportunities — AI can't judge such rare timing

✅ Right approach: A high AI score is the minimum threshold. Real concentration decisions require months or years of deep research until your understanding reaches the level of 'certainty.'

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