investment-fundamentals

How to Build a Long-Term Investment Portfolio

You want to build a portfolio for the next 20-30 years but don't know how many stocks to hold or how to structure it

What the Masters Would Say

Building a long-term investment portfolio is simultaneously one of the most important and most overthought activities in personal finance. The greatest investors have all converged on remarkably similar principles, and the good news is that the optimal approach is far simpler than the financial industry would have you believe.

Warren Buffett's portfolio advice varies based on the investor's skill level and commitment. For most people -- and he means this literally -- he recommends a simple two-fund portfolio: 90% in an S&P 500 index fund and 10% in short-term government bonds. This is the instruction he left in his will for his wife's inheritance. The simplicity is deliberate: it removes all decisions about stock selection, timing, and rebalancing, leaving only the power of broad market compounding.

For investors willing to do the work of analyzing individual businesses, Buffett recommends a concentrated approach: 10-20 stocks that you understand deeply, held for the long term. He has criticized excessive diversification as "a protection against ignorance. It makes little sense if you know what you are doing." His own portfolio has frequently had 40-50% in a single stock (Apple, in recent years).

Charlie Munger takes this further, advocating for even more concentration: "A well-diversified portfolio needs only three to four stocks if they are chosen wisely." Munger believes that spreading capital across 50 or 100 positions guarantees mediocrity because you cannot possibly know 100 businesses deeply enough to have an edge.

Peter Lynch offers the practical middle ground: own as many stocks as you can keep up with through thorough research, but no more. If you can follow 5 companies closely, own 5 stocks. If you can follow 15, own 15. The number matters less than the depth of your understanding. Lynch's One Up on Wall Street mantra: "Know what you own, and know why you own it."

The most critical portfolio construction principle from all three masters is position sizing by conviction. Your largest positions should be your highest-conviction ideas -- the businesses you understand best and believe are most undervalued. Putting 1% of your portfolio in your best idea while putting 5% in your fifteenth-best idea is backwards.

## Your 5-Step Action Plan

**Step 1: Choose Your Approach Based on Commitment Level.** If you cannot commit 10+ hours per week to investment research, use Buffett's simple approach: 90% S&P 500 index fund, 10% short-term bonds. Do not feel inferior -- this will outperform most professional investors. If you can commit the time, build a concentrated portfolio of 8-15 individual stocks.

**Step 2: Define Your Asset Allocation by Age and Goals.** A simple framework: 110 minus your age equals your stock percentage. Age 30: 80% stocks, 20% bonds. Age 50: 60/40. Within stocks, allocate 60-70% to U.S. equities and 30-40% to international for geographic diversification.

**Step 3: Size Positions by Conviction.** Your top 3-5 ideas should represent 50-60% of your stock portfolio. These are companies you know deeply, believe are competitively advantaged, and are confident about holding for 10+ years. Smaller positions (1-3% each) are for ideas you are still building conviction on.

**Step 4: Build Slowly Over 6-12 Months.** Don't invest everything on day one. Build your portfolio over 6-12 months, adding positions as you complete research on each company. This natural dollar-cost averaging reduces timing risk and gives you time to develop conviction.

**Step 5: Review Quarterly, Rebalance Annually.** Every quarter, review your holdings: Are the business fundamentals intact? Has anything changed about the competitive position or management quality? Once per year, rebalance back to your target allocation. Resist the urge to make changes more frequently.

### The Bottom Line

The perfect portfolio does not exist, but the principles of great portfolio construction are well-established: own quality businesses at reasonable prices, concentrate in your best ideas, diversify enough to survive any single company's failure, and hold for the long term. As Buffett says, "Wide diversification is only required when investors do not understand what they are doing."

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