Asymmetric Upside - Prompt de Análisis IA
Analiza cualquier empresa usando el principio de Bill Ackman: "Asymmetric Upside". Este prompt aplica esta sabiduría de inversión para evaluar empresas sistemáticamente.
Prompt completo
Eres un analista de inversiones entrenado en el principio de Bill Ackman: "Asymmetric Upside". Tu tarea es analizar {Nombre de la Empresa} a través de esta perspectiva específica.
## Contexto
Bill Ackman enseña: "Structure positions with limited downside and significant upside potential. The best trades make many times your risk."
## Marco de Análisis
### 1. Evaluación de Aplicación del Principio
- ¿Cómo se aplica específicamente este principio a {Nombre de la Empresa}?
- ¿Qué aspectos de la empresa son más relevantes para "Asymmetric Upside"?
- Califica la alineación: Fuerte / Moderada / Débil
- ¿En qué se enfocaría Bill Ackman primero?
### 2. Evidencia Cuantitativa
- Identifica 3-5 métricas financieras clave relevantes
- Analiza estas métricas durante los últimos 5-10 años
- Compara con competidores y benchmarks históricos
- ¿Los números están mejorando, estables o deteriorándose?
### 3. Análisis Cualitativo
- Evalúa factores no cuantificables que Bill Ackman examinaría
- Calidad de la gestión y alineación con este principio
- Dinámica de la industria y posición competitiva
- Sostenibilidad del modelo de negocio desde esta perspectiva
### 4. Evaluación de Riesgos
- ¿Qué riesgos destaca este principio para {Nombre de la Empresa}?
- ¿Qué señales de advertencia identificaría Bill Ackman?
- Prueba de estrés: ¿Cómo se desempeñaría bajo condiciones adversas?
- ¿Cuál es el peor escenario desde esta perspectiva?
### 5. Identificación de Oportunidades
- ¿Qué oportunidades revela este análisis?
- ¿Hay fortalezas ocultas que el mercado podría estar subvalorando?
- ¿Qué catalizadores podrían liberar valor?
### 6. Ackman Verdict
- ¿{Nombre de la Empresa} pasa la prueba de "Asymmetric Upside"?
- Calificación: 1-10
- Recomendación clara: Comprar / Mantener / Evitar
- Resumen en un párrafo
## Formato de Salida
Presenta datos específicos en cada sección. Termina con un veredicto decisivo.Este contenido solo está disponible en chino e inglés por el momento.
Basic Questions
How to find asymmetric opportunities with limited downside but massive upside?
Core idea: seeking asymmetric opportunities with limited downside but massive upside
✅ Using this AI prompt, you can systematically analyze any company or investment opportunity from this principle's perspective.
The prompt guides you to:
1. Assess whether the investment target meets this principle's core requirements
2. Identify key risks and blind spots
3. Provide a 1-10 comprehensive rating
Start by analyzing companies you know well for practice, then apply the framework to new investment decisions.
✅ Using this AI prompt, you can systematically analyze any company or investment opportunity from this principle's perspective.
The prompt guides you to:
1. Assess whether the investment target meets this principle's core requirements
2. Identify key risks and blind spots
3. Provide a 1-10 comprehensive rating
Start by analyzing companies you know well for practice, then apply the framework to new investment decisions.
Usage Tips
Is the AI's 1-10 rating reliable?
⚠️ The rating doesn't directly measure 'asymmetry' — what Ackman cares about most.
The rating's value:
- A high score means good quality, but asymmetric opportunities may exist in medium-quality but severely undervalued companies
- The score helps assess upside scenario credibility — high-quality companies have more believable upside
- Only when combined with valuation data can you judge whether asymmetry exists
Key limitations:
- Ackman's best investments are often 'buying during extreme pessimism' — when AI scores may be depressed by short-term headwinds
- Asymmetry requires assessing both upside and downside, but most scoring systems focus more on quality than price
- AI struggles to assess catalyst timing and probability — which determines whether the asymmetric opportunity materializes
✅ Right approach: Focus on the 'mismatch' between the AI score and current stock price — if an 8-point company trades at a 4-point price, that signals an asymmetric opportunity.
The rating's value:
- A high score means good quality, but asymmetric opportunities may exist in medium-quality but severely undervalued companies
- The score helps assess upside scenario credibility — high-quality companies have more believable upside
- Only when combined with valuation data can you judge whether asymmetry exists
Key limitations:
- Ackman's best investments are often 'buying during extreme pessimism' — when AI scores may be depressed by short-term headwinds
- Asymmetry requires assessing both upside and downside, but most scoring systems focus more on quality than price
- AI struggles to assess catalyst timing and probability — which determines whether the asymmetric opportunity materializes
✅ Right approach: Focus on the 'mismatch' between the AI score and current stock price — if an 8-point company trades at a 4-point price, that signals an asymmetric opportunity.
Más prompts de reglas
Explora otros principios de inversión de este maestro.
Concentrated Bets
Make a few big, well-researched bets rather than many small ones. Concentration builds conviction and focus.
→Activist Value Creation
When you see value trapped by poor management, take action to unlock it. Be a catalyst for change.
→Simple, Predictable Businesses
Invest in simple businesses with predictable cash flows. Complexity creates uncertainty and analytical error.
→Public Advocacy
Sometimes taking your case public can accelerate change. Use media and presentations to make your case.
→