Sell Discipline - Prompt d'Analyse IA
Use this John Templeton rule prompt to apply “Discipline de Vente” to a specific company. It turns a vague opinion into a repeatable checklist: what facts you must verify, which assumptions matter most, what would invalidate the thesis, and the common misreads that create false certainty. Expect a written output you can save: a thesis summary, key risks, and next-step questions for filings and earnings calls. If a claim matters, require primary-source citations before you act. Educational only — not investment advice.
Prompt Complet
Vous êtes un analyste d'investissement formé au principe de John Templeton : « Sell Discipline ». Votre tâche est d'analyser {Nom de l'Entreprise} à travers cette perspective spécifique.
## Contexte
John Templeton enseigne : « The time to sell is before the crash, not after. Sell when optimism is at its peak and better opportunities exist elsewhere. »
## Cadre d'Analyse
### 1. Évaluation de l'Application du Principe
- Comment ce principe s'applique-t-il spécifiquement à {Nom de l'Entreprise} ?
- Quels aspects de l'entreprise sont les plus pertinents pour « Sell Discipline » ?
- Évaluez l'alignement : Fort / Modéré / Faible
- Sur quoi John Templeton se concentrerait-il en premier ?
### 2. Preuves Quantitatives
- Identifiez 3-5 métriques financières clés pertinentes
- Analysez ces métriques sur les 5-10 dernières années
- Comparez avec les pairs et les benchmarks historiques
- Les chiffres s'améliorent-ils, sont-ils stables ou se détériorent-ils ?
### 3. Analyse Qualitative
- Évaluez les facteurs non quantifiables que John Templeton examinerait
- Qualité de la gestion et alignement avec ce principe
- Dynamique de l'industrie et position concurrentielle
- Durabilité du modèle d'affaires selon cette perspective
### 4. Évaluation des Risques
- Quels risques ce principe met-il en évidence pour {Nom de l'Entreprise} ?
- Quels signaux d'alarme John Templeton identifierait-il ?
- Test de résistance : comment l'entreprise performerait-elle en conditions adverses ?
- Quel est le pire scénario selon cette perspective ?
### 5. Identification des Opportunités
- Quelles opportunités cette analyse révèle-t-elle ?
- Y a-t-il des forces cachées sous-évaluées par le marché ?
- Quels catalyseurs pourraient libérer de la valeur ?
### 6. Templeton Verdict
- {Nom de l'Entreprise} passe-t-elle le test de « Sell Discipline » ?
- Note : 1-10
- Recommandation claire : Acheter / Conserver / Éviter
- Résumé en un paragraphe
## Format de Sortie
Présentez des données spécifiques dans chaque section. Terminez par un verdict décisif.Related reading (close the loop)
Pick one path below to turn the output into a checkable, repeatable decision policy.
- Read the matching principleDefinition, boundaries, pitfalls, and a minimal checklist.
- Master profileMethodology summary + common misreads for this framework.
- Practice in scenariosTranslate conclusions into “what I do under stress”.
- More prompts from this masterTriangulate with multiple rules instead of anchoring on one prompt.
Educational only. Verify facts with primary sources and apply your own constraints.
Ce contenu n'est disponible qu'en chinois et en anglais pour le moment.
Basic Questions
Why is sell discipline harder to execute than buy discipline?
Core idea: establish strict selling discipline, unaffected by emotions
✅ Using this AI prompt, you can systematically analyze any company or investment opportunity from this principle's perspective.
The prompt guides you to:
1. Assess whether the investment target meets this principle's core requirements
2. Identify key risks and blind spots
3. Provide a 1-10 comprehensive rating
Start by analyzing companies you know well for practice, then apply the framework to new investment decisions.
✅ Using this AI prompt, you can systematically analyze any company or investment opportunity from this principle's perspective.
The prompt guides you to:
1. Assess whether the investment target meets this principle's core requirements
2. Identify key risks and blind spots
3. Provide a 1-10 comprehensive rating
Start by analyzing companies you know well for practice, then apply the framework to new investment decisions.
Usage Tips
Is the AI's 1-10 rating reliable?
⚠️ The sell discipline score's most critical function: helping you overcome the "disposition effect" — selling winners too early and holding losers too long.
The rating's unique value:
- Templeton's selling wasn't "sell when it's up" but "swap when you find something better" — the score helps quantify the "better" standard
- A high score shows you have a clear sell framework, not driven by emotions
- A low score reveals you may lack systematic sell rules, making sell decisions too arbitrarily
Templeton's sell philosophy:
- When a stock's price fully reflects good news and you've found another good company whose price is severely undervalued — that's the time to swap
- Selling isn't admitting defeat; it's optimal reallocation of resources
- AI can compare expected returns of holding vs. alternatives, but the final action requires overcoming your psychological inertia
The rating's unique value:
- Templeton's selling wasn't "sell when it's up" but "swap when you find something better" — the score helps quantify the "better" standard
- A high score shows you have a clear sell framework, not driven by emotions
- A low score reveals you may lack systematic sell rules, making sell decisions too arbitrarily
Templeton's sell philosophy:
- When a stock's price fully reflects good news and you've found another good company whose price is severely undervalued — that's the time to swap
- Selling isn't admitting defeat; it's optimal reallocation of resources
- AI can compare expected returns of holding vs. alternatives, but the final action requires overcoming your psychological inertia
Getting started
Does this prompt give investment advice or buy/sell calls?
No. It is a research helper that turns your thinking into checkable inputs and constraints: what evidence you must verify, what would prove the thesis wrong, and what common misreads to avoid. Treat the output as a draft, not a signal. Validate every material number against primary sources (filings, earnings releases, investor presentations, transcripts), and do not act unless you can write down (1) position-size limits and (2) explicit invalidation triggers.
What inputs should I provide for a reliable result?
At minimum: a 1-sentence business model summary, your current thesis (why it wins/loses), time horizon, and risk constraints; a valuation/price range; and the latest financial statements (profit quality, cash flow, debt/liquidity). Add context that reduces hallucinations: the exact filing period, known one-offs, key competitors, and what you do NOT know yet. If an input is missing, label it as missing evidence instead of letting the model guess.
Validation and boundaries
How do I validate the output?
Validate falsifiable claims one by one. Rewrite each key statement into something you can check: the metric, the period, and the source. Numbers must match filings; management claims must be traceable to transcripts/guidance; and “moat” claims need observable evidence (pricing power, retention, switching costs, cost structure). Anything you cannot verify becomes a follow-up task, not a decision trigger. If the model cites dates, confirm they are not beyond its knowledge cutoff.
When should I NOT act on the output?
If you cannot write down invalidation triggers, a position-size cap, or primary-source evidence for the key claims behind “Discipline de Vente”, do not act. The safer move is usually to reduce size, slow down, and schedule the next review.
Plus de Prompts de Règles
Explorez d'autres principes d'investissement de ce maître.
Flexibilité
Il est impossible de produire une performance supérieure sans faire quelque chose de différent de la majorité. Soyez flexible dans votre approche.
→Investissement Basé sur la Recherche
N'achetez jamais une action sans recherche approfondie. Sachez ce que vous possédez et pourquoi.
→Patience et Persévérance
Les seuls investisseurs qui ne devraient pas diversifier sont ceux qui ont raison 100% du temps. Pour les autres, patience et diversification sont essentielles.
→Humilité dans l'Investissement
Un investisseur qui a toutes les réponses ne comprend même pas les questions. L'humilité est essentielle au succès à long terme.
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