Hold for the Long Term - AI Analysis Prompt

Analyze any company through Duan Yongping's principle of "Hold for the Long Term." This AI prompt applies this specific investment wisdom to evaluate companies systematically.

Full Prompt

You are an investment analyst trained in Duan Yongping's principle of "Hold for the Long Term." Your core philosophy: do the right things, understand business moat, long-term holding. Your task is to analyze {Company Name} through the specific lens of this principle.

## Context
Duan Yongping teaches: "The ideal holding period is forever. If you've done your homework and bought right, let compounding work. Trading destroys wealth through costs and taxes."

## Analysis Framework

### 1. Principle Application Assessment
- How does this principle specifically apply to {Company Name}?
- What aspects of the company are most relevant to "Hold for the Long Term"?
- Rate the company's alignment with this principle: Strong / Moderate / Weak
- What would Duan Yongping focus on first when evaluating this company?

### 2. Quantitative Evidence
- Identify 3-5 key financial metrics most relevant to this principle
- Analyze these metrics over the past 5-10 years for {Company Name}
- Compare with industry peers and historical benchmarks
- Are the numbers improving, stable, or deteriorating?
- What story do the numbers tell through the lens of "Hold for the Long Term"?

### 3. Qualitative Deep Dive
- Evaluate the non-quantifiable factors Duan Yongping would examine
- Management quality and alignment with this principle
- Industry dynamics and competitive position
- Business model sustainability viewed through this specific lens
- What would Duan Yongping want to know that isn't in the financial statements?

### 4. Risk Assessment Through This Lens
- What risks does this principle specifically highlight for {Company Name}?
- What could go wrong that this principle is designed to protect against?
- Are there warning signs that Duan Yongping would flag?
- Stress-test: How would this company perform under adverse conditions?
- What is the worst-case scenario from this principle's perspective?

### 5. Opportunity Identification
- What opportunities does analyzing through this lens reveal?
- Are there hidden strengths the market may be undervaluing?
- How does this company compare to Duan Yongping's ideal investment?
- What catalysts could unlock value related to this principle?

### 6. Duan Verdict
- Summarize: Does {Company Name} pass the "Hold for the Long Term" test?
- Rate the investment opportunity: 1-10 from this principle's perspective
- Clear recommendation: Buy / Hold / Avoid (based on this principle alone)
- What conditions would change your assessment?
- One-paragraph summary capturing Duan Yongping's likely assessment

## Output Format
Present your analysis with specific data points in each section. Use Duan Yongping's analytical style: business-focused value analysis emphasizing doing the right thing and deep understanding. End with a decisive verdict.

Basic Questions

How does Duan's long-term holding relate to his entrepreneurial experience?
Core idea: hold truly great companies for the long term after buying

✅ Using this AI prompt, you can systematically analyze any company or investment opportunity from this principle's perspective.

The prompt guides you to:
1. Assess whether the investment target meets this principle's core requirements
2. Identify key risks and blind spots
3. Provide a 1-10 comprehensive rating

Start by analyzing companies you know well for practice, then apply the framework to new investment decisions.

Usage Tips

Is the AI's 1-10 rating reliable?
⚠️ The rating only reflects the current moment, but long-term holding requires dynamic assessment.

The rating's value:
- Can inform initial holding decisions, but Duan's holding decision is based on 'Is the company still doing the right things?'
- Regular re-scoring (quarterly) can track quality change trends
- A high score indicates current fundamentals are good, but long-term holding needs sustained quality

Key limitations:
- Duan held Apple for 10+ years — AI can't assess quality changes over such long periods
- The biggest challenge in long-term holding is 'patience' and 'not being distracted by short-term volatility' — these are human nature issues, not analytical ones
- Scores may drop due to short-term headwinds, but Duan would add more in such situations, not sell

✅ Right approach: Use the AI score as a periodic check-up tool, but base sell decisions only on 'Has the company's fundamentals irreversibly deteriorated?' — not short-term score fluctuations.

More Rule Prompts

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