Five-Step Process - Prompt de Análisis IA
Use this Ray Dalio rule prompt to apply “Proceso de Cinco Pasos” to a specific company. It turns a vague opinion into a repeatable checklist: what facts you must verify, which assumptions matter most, what would invalidate the thesis, and the common misreads that create false certainty. Expect a written output you can save: a thesis summary, key risks, and next-step questions for filings and earnings calls. If a claim matters, require primary-source citations before you act. Educational only — not investment advice.
Prompt completo
Eres un analista de inversiones entrenado en el principio de Ray Dalio: "Five-Step Process". Tu tarea es analizar {Nombre de la Empresa} a través de esta perspectiva específica.
## Contexto
Ray Dalio enseña: "Use the 5-Step Process to get what you want: 1) Set clear goals, 2) Identify problems, 3) Diagnose root causes, 4) Design solutions, 5) Execute."
## Marco de Análisis
### 1. Evaluación de Aplicación del Principio
- ¿Cómo se aplica específicamente este principio a {Nombre de la Empresa}?
- ¿Qué aspectos de la empresa son más relevantes para "Five-Step Process"?
- Califica la alineación: Fuerte / Moderada / Débil
- ¿En qué se enfocaría Ray Dalio primero?
### 2. Evidencia Cuantitativa
- Identifica 3-5 métricas financieras clave relevantes
- Analiza estas métricas durante los últimos 5-10 años
- Compara con competidores y benchmarks históricos
- ¿Los números están mejorando, estables o deteriorándose?
### 3. Análisis Cualitativo
- Evalúa factores no cuantificables que Ray Dalio examinaría
- Calidad de la gestión y alineación con este principio
- Dinámica de la industria y posición competitiva
- Sostenibilidad del modelo de negocio desde esta perspectiva
### 4. Evaluación de Riesgos
- ¿Qué riesgos destaca este principio para {Nombre de la Empresa}?
- ¿Qué señales de advertencia identificaría Ray Dalio?
- Prueba de estrés: ¿Cómo se desempeñaría bajo condiciones adversas?
- ¿Cuál es el peor escenario desde esta perspectiva?
### 5. Identificación de Oportunidades
- ¿Qué oportunidades revela este análisis?
- ¿Hay fortalezas ocultas que el mercado podría estar subvalorando?
- ¿Qué catalizadores podrían liberar valor?
### 6. Dalio Verdict
- ¿{Nombre de la Empresa} pasa la prueba de "Five-Step Process"?
- Calificación: 1-10
- Recomendación clara: Comprar / Mantener / Evitar
- Resumen en un párrafo
## Formato de Salida
Presenta datos específicos en cada sección. Termina con un veredicto decisivo.Related reading (close the loop)
Pick one path below to turn the output into a checkable, repeatable decision policy.
- Read the matching principleDefinition, boundaries, pitfalls, and a minimal checklist.
- Master profileMethodology summary + common misreads for this framework.
- Practice in scenariosTranslate conclusions into “what I do under stress”.
- More prompts from this masterTriangulate with multiple rules instead of anchoring on one prompt.
Educational only. Verify facts with primary sources and apply your own constraints.
Este contenido solo está disponible en chino e inglés por el momento.
Basic Questions
How does Dalio's five-step process systematically improve investment decisions?
Dalio summarizes problem-solving (including investing) as a five-step loop:
📋 Five steps:
1. 🎯 Set clear goals: What's your investment target? Annual return? Risk level?
2. 🔍 Identify problems: Where's the gap between goals and reality?
3. 🩺 Diagnose root causes: Why does this gap exist? Insufficient knowledge or discipline?
4. 📐 Design solutions: Create specific improvement plans
5. ⚡ Execute completely: Follow the plan strictly, undistracted by emotions
💡 Key: This is a loop — after completing one round, start over for continuous improvement.
📋 Five steps:
1. 🎯 Set clear goals: What's your investment target? Annual return? Risk level?
2. 🔍 Identify problems: Where's the gap between goals and reality?
3. 🩺 Diagnose root causes: Why does this gap exist? Insufficient knowledge or discipline?
4. 📐 Design solutions: Create specific improvement plans
5. ⚡ Execute completely: Follow the plan strictly, undistracted by emotions
💡 Key: This is a loop — after completing one round, start over for continuous improvement.
Usage Tips
Is the AI's 1-10 rating reliable?
⚠️ The five-step process score measures "the systematicness of your investment decision process," not whether results are good or bad.
The rating's unique value:
- Helps you identify the weakest link in your investment process — most people make the most errors at the "diagnose root causes" step
- A high process score doesn't guarantee short-term profits, but ensures continuous improvement in long-term decision quality
- Track the same investment's process score over time to verify whether you're improving
Core reminders:
- Dalio's five-step process is a cyclical system, not a one-time checklist
- AI can help diagnose process flaws, but execution discipline must be maintained by you
- The most common mistake is skipping "diagnosis" and jumping to "design solutions" — this treats symptoms without addressing root causes
The rating's unique value:
- Helps you identify the weakest link in your investment process — most people make the most errors at the "diagnose root causes" step
- A high process score doesn't guarantee short-term profits, but ensures continuous improvement in long-term decision quality
- Track the same investment's process score over time to verify whether you're improving
Core reminders:
- Dalio's five-step process is a cyclical system, not a one-time checklist
- AI can help diagnose process flaws, but execution discipline must be maintained by you
- The most common mistake is skipping "diagnosis" and jumping to "design solutions" — this treats symptoms without addressing root causes
Getting started
Does this prompt give investment advice or buy/sell calls?
No. It is a research helper that turns your thinking into checkable inputs and constraints: what evidence you must verify, what would prove the thesis wrong, and what common misreads to avoid. Treat the output as a draft, not a signal. Validate every material number against primary sources (filings, earnings releases, investor presentations, transcripts), and do not act unless you can write down (1) position-size limits and (2) explicit invalidation triggers.
What inputs should I provide for a reliable result?
At minimum: a 1-sentence business model summary, your current thesis (why it wins/loses), time horizon, and risk constraints; a valuation/price range; and the latest financial statements (profit quality, cash flow, debt/liquidity). Add context that reduces hallucinations: the exact filing period, known one-offs, key competitors, and what you do NOT know yet. If an input is missing, label it as missing evidence instead of letting the model guess.
Validation and boundaries
How do I validate the output?
Validate falsifiable claims one by one. Rewrite each key statement into something you can check: the metric, the period, and the source. Numbers must match filings; management claims must be traceable to transcripts/guidance; and “moat” claims need observable evidence (pricing power, retention, switching costs, cost structure). Anything you cannot verify becomes a follow-up task, not a decision trigger. If the model cites dates, confirm they are not beyond its knowledge cutoff.
When should I NOT act on the output?
If you cannot write down invalidation triggers, a position-size cap, or primary-source evidence for the key claims behind “Proceso de Cinco Pasos”, do not act. The safer move is usually to reduce size, slow down, and schedule the next review.
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