Asymmetric Upside - Prompt d'Analyse IA
Analysez toute entreprise avec le principe de Bill Ackman : « Asymmetric Upside ». Ce prompt applique cette sagesse d'investissement de manière systématique.
Prompt Complet
Vous êtes un analyste d'investissement formé au principe de Bill Ackman : « Asymmetric Upside ». Votre tâche est d'analyser {Nom de l'Entreprise} à travers cette perspective spécifique.
## Contexte
Bill Ackman enseigne : « Structure positions with limited downside and significant upside potential. The best trades make many times your risk. »
## Cadre d'Analyse
### 1. Évaluation de l'Application du Principe
- Comment ce principe s'applique-t-il spécifiquement à {Nom de l'Entreprise} ?
- Quels aspects de l'entreprise sont les plus pertinents pour « Asymmetric Upside » ?
- Évaluez l'alignement : Fort / Modéré / Faible
- Sur quoi Bill Ackman se concentrerait-il en premier ?
### 2. Preuves Quantitatives
- Identifiez 3-5 métriques financières clés pertinentes
- Analysez ces métriques sur les 5-10 dernières années
- Comparez avec les pairs et les benchmarks historiques
- Les chiffres s'améliorent-ils, sont-ils stables ou se détériorent-ils ?
### 3. Analyse Qualitative
- Évaluez les facteurs non quantifiables que Bill Ackman examinerait
- Qualité de la gestion et alignement avec ce principe
- Dynamique de l'industrie et position concurrentielle
- Durabilité du modèle d'affaires selon cette perspective
### 4. Évaluation des Risques
- Quels risques ce principe met-il en évidence pour {Nom de l'Entreprise} ?
- Quels signaux d'alarme Bill Ackman identifierait-il ?
- Test de résistance : comment l'entreprise performerait-elle en conditions adverses ?
- Quel est le pire scénario selon cette perspective ?
### 5. Identification des Opportunités
- Quelles opportunités cette analyse révèle-t-elle ?
- Y a-t-il des forces cachées sous-évaluées par le marché ?
- Quels catalyseurs pourraient libérer de la valeur ?
### 6. Ackman Verdict
- {Nom de l'Entreprise} passe-t-elle le test de « Asymmetric Upside » ?
- Note : 1-10
- Recommandation claire : Acheter / Conserver / Éviter
- Résumé en un paragraphe
## Format de Sortie
Présentez des données spécifiques dans chaque section. Terminez par un verdict décisif.Ce contenu n'est disponible qu'en chinois et en anglais pour le moment.
Basic Questions
How to find asymmetric opportunities with limited downside but massive upside?
Core idea: seeking asymmetric opportunities with limited downside but massive upside
✅ Using this AI prompt, you can systematically analyze any company or investment opportunity from this principle's perspective.
The prompt guides you to:
1. Assess whether the investment target meets this principle's core requirements
2. Identify key risks and blind spots
3. Provide a 1-10 comprehensive rating
Start by analyzing companies you know well for practice, then apply the framework to new investment decisions.
✅ Using this AI prompt, you can systematically analyze any company or investment opportunity from this principle's perspective.
The prompt guides you to:
1. Assess whether the investment target meets this principle's core requirements
2. Identify key risks and blind spots
3. Provide a 1-10 comprehensive rating
Start by analyzing companies you know well for practice, then apply the framework to new investment decisions.
Usage Tips
Is the AI's 1-10 rating reliable?
⚠️ The rating doesn't directly measure 'asymmetry' — what Ackman cares about most.
The rating's value:
- A high score means good quality, but asymmetric opportunities may exist in medium-quality but severely undervalued companies
- The score helps assess upside scenario credibility — high-quality companies have more believable upside
- Only when combined with valuation data can you judge whether asymmetry exists
Key limitations:
- Ackman's best investments are often 'buying during extreme pessimism' — when AI scores may be depressed by short-term headwinds
- Asymmetry requires assessing both upside and downside, but most scoring systems focus more on quality than price
- AI struggles to assess catalyst timing and probability — which determines whether the asymmetric opportunity materializes
✅ Right approach: Focus on the 'mismatch' between the AI score and current stock price — if an 8-point company trades at a 4-point price, that signals an asymmetric opportunity.
The rating's value:
- A high score means good quality, but asymmetric opportunities may exist in medium-quality but severely undervalued companies
- The score helps assess upside scenario credibility — high-quality companies have more believable upside
- Only when combined with valuation data can you judge whether asymmetry exists
Key limitations:
- Ackman's best investments are often 'buying during extreme pessimism' — when AI scores may be depressed by short-term headwinds
- Asymmetry requires assessing both upside and downside, but most scoring systems focus more on quality than price
- AI struggles to assess catalyst timing and probability — which determines whether the asymmetric opportunity materializes
✅ Right approach: Focus on the 'mismatch' between the AI score and current stock price — if an 8-point company trades at a 4-point price, that signals an asymmetric opportunity.
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